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The answer comes down to finding a balance, Williams tells Carbon Brief:

“Mathematically speaking, the correct approach would be to keep decreasing the time step until the simulations are converged and the results stop changing. However, we normally lack the computational resources to run the models with a time step this small. Therefore, we are forced to tolerate a larger time step than we would ideally like.”

For the atmosphere component of climate models, a time step of around 30 minutes “seems to be a reasonable compromise” between accuracy and computer processing time, says Williams:

“Any smaller and the improved accuracy would not be sufficient to justify the extra computational burden. Any larger and the model would run very quickly, but the simulation quality would be poor.”

Bringing all these pieces together, a climate model can produce a representation of the whole climate system at 30-minute intervals over many decades or even centuries.

As Dr Gavin Schmidt , director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, describes in his TED talk in 2014, the interactions of small-scale processes in a model mean it creates a simulation of our climate – everything from the evaporation of moisture from the Earth’s surface and formation of clouds, to where the wind carries them and where the rain eventually falls.

Schmidt calls these “emergent properties” in his talk – features of the climate that aren’t specifically coded in the model, but are simulated by the model as a result of all the individual processes that are built in.

It is akin to the manager of a football team. He or she picks the team, chooses the formation and settles on the tactics, but once the team is out on the pitch, the manager cannot dictate if and when the team scores or concedes a goal. In a climate model, scientists set the ground rules based on the physics of the Earth system, but it is the model itself that creates the storms, droughts and sea ice.

So to summarise: scientists put the fundamental physical equations of the Earth’s climate into a computer model, which is then able to reproduce – among many other things – the circulation of the oceans, the annual cycle of the seasons, and the flows of carbon between the land surface and the atmosphere.

You can watch the whole of Schmidt’s talk below.

While the above broadly explains what a climate model is, there are many different types. Read on to the question below to explore these in more detail.

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The earliest and most basic numerical climate models are Energy Balance Models (EBMs). EBMs do not simulate the climate, but instead consider the balance between the energy entering the Earth’s atmosphere from the sun and the heat released back out to space. The only climate variable they calculate is surface temperature. The simplest EBMs only require a few lines of code and can be run in a spreadsheet.

We are pleased to announce that we will soon be launching our sixth journal, .

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, People and Nature is a broad-scope open access journal publishing work from across research areas exploring relationships between humans and nature.

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We encourage conceptual and empirical approaches to answer interesting questions within this scope. Qualitative, quantitative and mixed methodologies are all welcome.

People and Nature fosters innovation and experimentation and particularly encourages submissions that stimulate debate.

People and Nature – a journal of relational thinking

We welcome presubmission enquiries, which should be directed to the Managing Editor Emilie Aimé.

Message from the Editor-in-Chief

So, you have a great idea for a new paper. It looks at some aspect of the interactions between people and nature. It will have some ecological relevance, but may not be a pure ecology paper. It will also have a good bit of material drawn from one or more other disciplines – it could be economics, geography, history, law,literature, medicine,philosophy, politics, psychology, or sociology, to name just a few possibilities. But it is not a mainstream paper for one of those disciplines either. So, where will you submit your latest contribution? You will want a journal that not just considers outputs from this kind of cross/multi/interdisciplinary work, but really values them. You will want one that understands both the importance of your paper being promptly and fairly handled by people who are knowledgeable about the topic, and that takes seriously the challenges that can arise when reviewing work that crosses disciplinary specialisms. You will want one backed by a respected organisation, with a track record of publishing high quality journals.

Welcome to People and Nature – a journal of relational thinking.

The British Ecological Society is launching this new journal in recognition of the rapid growth in inter-, multi-, and transdisciplinary research concerning the relationships between humans and nature. Much of this research addresses issues of vital importance.

We look forward to receiving your submissions.

Kevin Gaston – Editor-in-Chief People and Nature

For more info on what our Lead Editors would like to see submitted to the journal take a look at this short interview with them.

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